Discussions

114 AM EST THU FEB 9 2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1024 PM EST WED FEB 8 2012/ 

UPDATE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED TO FCST. TEMPS RUNNING A LITTLE
WARMER THAN FORECAST MAINLY DUE TO FAIRLY STRONG WINDS OF 6 TO 12
KTS MOST OF THE EVENING. IN THE LAST HOUR...WINDS HAVE FINALLY
DROPPED SOME SO EXPECT TEMPS TO FALL MORE QUICKLY. HAVE ADJUSTED
TEMPS UP A LITTLE BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS AND LESS TIME TO
RADIATE THAN EXPECTED. THIS ALSO SEEMS TO MATCH LATEST GUIDANCE A
LITTLE BETTER. 

SNELSON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 650 PM EST WED FEB 8 2012/ 

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA REMAIN UNDER FAIRLY STRONG WEST TO
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE LARGE SCALE
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN REMAINS FAIRLY STATIC. ANOTHER RELATIVELY WEAK
SHORT WAVE WILL AFFECT NORTH GEORGIA LATE FRIDAY. STILL LOOKS LIKE
CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL BE FAIRLY LOW AND CONFINED
THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH GEORGIA MOUNTAINS POINT TO A CHANCE FOR SOME
MIXED PRECIPITATION. MODEL AND HPC QPF NUMBERS REMAIN BELOW A TENTH
OF AN INCH AND GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL BE PRETTY WARM FOR FEBRUARY
SO ANY EFFECTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. 

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM MODEL TRENDS SO LITTLE TO NO
CHANGES MADE AT THIS TIME...SEE BELOW FOR PREVIOUS LONG TERM FORECAST
DISCUSSION. 

20

PREV DISCUSSION... 

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
INCREASING CLOUDS FRIDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROUGH. 00Z ECMWF
AND 00Z GFS SUGGEST POSSIBILITY FOR RAIN...WITH THE SLIGHTEST
POSSIBILITY FOR SOME SNOW MIXED IN. MODEL SOUNDINGS IN NORTH GEORGIA
SUGGEST AIR COLD ENOUGH TO SEE RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
MORNING...BUT THE LOWER LEVELS ARE QUITE DRY AND THE CHANCE OF FLAKES
OR FLURRIES SURVIVING TO THE GROUND IS QUESTIONABLE. IF EVAPORATIONAL
COOLING IS EFFECTIVE...IT IS POSSIBLE TO SEE LOWER LEVEL TEMPERATURES
COOL AND A FEW FLURRIES SURVIVE TO THE GROUND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
CONFIDENCE IS PRETTY LOW FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION AT ALL IN THE
MORNING SINCE MODELS DIVERGE ON TIMING SO GREATLY...WITH THE 00Z NAM
HAVING THE FRONT BACK IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AT 12Z SATURDAY.

A TIGHTENING GRADIENT ON SATURDAY WILL ALLOW FOR GUSTY
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS IN PARTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA BEHIND
THE SYSTEM.

SUNDAY IS A DRIER...COOLER DAY AS NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS. A RIDGE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WHICH THE
00Z ECMWF HAS MOVING INTO OUR AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 00Z GFS
IS A BIT SLOWER WITH PRECIPITATION NEARING THE AL-GA BORDER AROUND
12Z.

10

FIRE WEATHER...
DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH
THURSDAY...HOWEVER COOLER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD KEEP RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. 

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
BKN LAYER OF 35 HUNDRED FT CLOUDS LINGERING ACROSS EXTREME NORTH
GEORGIA MAY COME CLOSE TO METRO ATL TAF SITES FOR A FEW HOURS
THIS MORNING...AND MAY SEE FEW/SCT035 AT RYY,FTY AND ATL TAF
SITES UNTIL AROUND 10Z. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS
TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH JUST VARYING AMOUNTS OF
HIGH CLOUDS. NORTHWEST WINDS GENERALLY IN THE 4 TO 8 KT RANGE
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD...THOUGH MAY SEE WINDS SWING
AROUND MORE NE-E LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BACK TO
NORTHWEST BY THE END OF THE DAY. 

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS...EXCEPT MEDIUM ON WIND DIRECTION.

49

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          56  32  62  38 /   0   5  10  20 
ATLANTA         55  36  60  39 /   0   5  10  20 
BLAIRSVILLE     52  28  56  35 /   0   5  20  20 
CARTERSVILLE    54  29  57  37 /   0   5  10  20 
COLUMBUS        59  36  63  43 /   0   5   5  10 
GAINESVILLE     54  35  58  38 /   0   5  10  20 
MACON           59  34  65  39 /   0   5   5  10 
ROME            53  29  57  37 /   0   5  20  20 
PEACHTREE CITY  56  30  61  37 /   0   5  10  10 
VIDALIA         62  39  68  41 /   0   5  10  10 

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

Found
The document has moved here.

Apache/2.2.15 (Red Hat) Server at www.weather.gov Port 80

#mainContainer
{
	width:auto;
	height:auto;
	background-color:white;
}
#headerArea
{
	margin50px;
	border:1px solid #cccccc;
	height:125px;
	background-color: #ffffff;
}
#nwsLogo
{
	float:left;
	width:100px;
	/*border:1px solid black;*/
}
#noaaLogo
{
	float:right;
	width:100px;	
	/*border:1px solid black;*/
}
#logoTitleArea
{
	
	padding:15px;
	height:110px;	
	/*border:1px solid black;*/
	text-align:center;
}
#titleArea
{
	display:inline;
    display: -moz-inline-stack;
	color: black;
    font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;
    font-size: 36px;
    font-weight: bold;
	/*border:1px solid black;*/
}
 
#mainContent
{
	border-left:1px solid #cccccc;
	border-right:1px solid #cccccc;
	height:350px;
	text-align:left;
	padding:25px 65px 0px 60px;
	font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;
	font-size:14px;
}
#footerContainer
{
	border-left:1px solid #cccccc;
	border-right:1px solid #cccccc;
	border-bottom:1px solid #cccccc;
	border1px solid #cccccc;
	margin:0px;
	padding:0px 20px 0px 20px;
	height:110px;
	width:auto;
}
#policySection ul, #disclaimerSection ul, #addressSection ul
{
    list-style-type:none;
}
#addressSection
{
	float:left;
	font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;
	font-size:12px;
	width:375px;
	padding-right:100px;
}
#disclaimerSection
{
	font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;
	float:left;
	font-size:12px;
	width:150px;
	padding-right:100px;
}
#policySection
{
	font-family: Verdana,Geneva,Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;
	float:left;
	font-size:12px;
}
 
#linkContainerArea
{
	border:1px solid #000078; 
	height:190px;
	width:900px;
}
 
#linkArea1, #linkArea2
{
	/*border:1px solid black;*/
	height:170px;
	margin:10px;
	float:left;
	width:auto;
	text-align:left;
	padding:5px 0px 0px 10px;
}
 
a:active, a:visited, a:link
{
	color:blue;
}
a:hover
{
	color:green;
}
 
#textLink
{
	font-size:12px;
}

 
 
function goToSelectedPage(data)
{
	window.open(data);
}
 
function getMyTime()
{
	var myDate = new Date();
	document.getElementById('myTime').innerHTML = myDate;
	browserDetection(); 
}
function browserDetection()
{
	if(/MSIE (\d+\.\d+);/.test(navigator.userAgent))
	{
		var version = new Number(RegExp.$1);
		if(version 

 


 
	
		
			
				
			
			
				National Weather Service
			
			
			
				
			
		
	
	
		
		
			The page you requested cannot be found.  Please check your URL and try again.
		
		
			Please use the following links for NWS forecasts and services.
		
		
			
				
					Forecasts:
					http://forecast.weather.gov/zipcity.php
					*Please type 
your zip code into the search box
				
				
					Radar:
					http://rad
ar.weather.gov
				
                                
                                        Air Quality:
                                        http://airquality.weather.gov
                                

			
			
				
					Aviation:
					http://
aviationweather.gov
				
				
					River and Lake Forecasts and Observations:
					http://water.weather.gov
				
                                
                                        Graphical Forecasts:
                                        http://graphical.weather.gov
                                

			
		
		
		We apologize for any inconvenience that this might cause.
	
	 
		
		
			
				National Weather Service
				Office of Operational Systems
				
				Page Author: NWS Webmaster
				Web Master's E-mail: w-nws.web
master@noaa.gov
			
		
			
		
			
				Disclaim
er
				Credits

				Glossary
			
		
			
		
			
				Privacy Pol
icy
				About Us
				Career Oppo
rtunities