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Area Forecast Discussion

AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1033 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...Evening Update...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1031 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

No major deviations from the forecast at this time. Isolated
showers have begun to move into southeast and east central Georgia
as the low moves towards the north. There is continued uncertainty
in northward extent of the precipitation depending on how deep the
dry air is as it is pulled southwestward around the low, though
this shouldn`t have too much impact on QPF in the long run.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Wednesday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

At a glance:

- Another gorgeous afternoon expected.

- Tropical moisture tomorrow will gradually increase the chance for
showers and thunderstorms across the south and central part of the
CWA.

Dry and pleasant conditions continue through the rest of the
afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Mostly clear skies are
expected with a few clouds here and there to provide some shade.
Overnight lows will also be pleasant as temps drop into the mid to
upper 60s.

A tropical low along the Atlantic coast will slowly come on shore
tomorrow bringing rain and a few isolated thunderstorms to areas of
central and southern Georgia. Severe weather is not anticipated and
rainfall totals look to range from an inch to less than a tenth of
an inch across the metro area. It will bring a change of airmass
with it resulting in more active humid weather as we move into the
long term.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday morning through next Monday)
Issued at 213 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Highlights:

- Unsettled weather Thursday through early next week -- monitoring
severe storm potential over the weekend

- Near normal temperatures expected over the next 5 to 7 days

Unsettled weather will be the theme for the long term forecast as
moisture returns and sticks around across the region. At the start
of the long term period (Thursday), a surface low will be migrating
up along the GA/SC coast bringing rain and thunder chances primarily
to our far southeast and east-central counties on Thursday.
Additionally, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) maintains a low
(10%) chance that this area of low pressure develops into a tropical
system in the next 5-7 days. This low is forecast to track up the NC
coast or be more off the Atlantic Coast by Friday. Any remnant
boundaries that remain may provide support isolated activity Friday
afternoon for our southern counties and widely scattered diurnal
convection elsewhere. Attention then turns towards the Mid-MS Valley
and TN Valley Regions as we head into the weekend. A frontal
boundary will slowly sag southwards towards the southeast on Friday,
enter our area by Saturday and persisting through the weekend. With
no changes to the warm and moist airmass that will be in place over
the southeast, more scattered to widespread rain and thunder chances
are expected to continue through the weekend. One thing that we will
continue to monitor will be severe potential. With several
disturbances forecast to pass through the upper level flow
interacting with the frontal boundary could result in enhanced storm
coverage/intensity. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) maintains a
Day 4 and 5 (though will soon be Days 3 and 4) 15% severe risk area
for areas just to our west -- including parts of Ms and AL to
account for this potential. At this time, no widespread severe
weather is currently forecast but certainly something to monitor
going forward. Additionally, with PWs on the order of 1.5 to 2
inches, locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

Forecast temperatures through the long term will hover right around
normal (or 3 to 7 degrees -/+ from normal). Forecast high
temperatures will start off in the mid 80s (Thursday) climbing to
the upper 80s to low 90s (especially over Central GA) Friday
through the weekend. Overnight lows will remain fairly mild with
forecast values ranging from the 60s to low 70s.

07

&&
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