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Area Forecast Discussion

AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
731 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 212 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

Key Messages:

- Isolated to scattered thunderstorms possible over far north
Georgia this evening with gusty winds possible.

- Scattered thunderstorms expected to increase in coverage
tomorrow as front pushes southward into the area. A few
strong to marginally severe wind gusts are possible with the
strongest storms.

Discussion:

For the remainder of this afternoon and evening, isolated storms
should continue with gusty winds being the main threat. Pushing into
tonight the long awaited front will begin pushing closer to north
Georgia with the potential for a line of showers and isolated
embedded thunderstorms to push into north Georgia before fizzling
out. CAMs have decreased the intensity of this line as of 12z as the
parameters may not be as strong as expected. With it being overnight
though need to keep an eye on it. There is also a potential for a
secondary wave to push into north Georgia early in the morning near
sunrise but with more showers expected. Then comes Saturday
afternoon and evening when the front finally pushes southward along
with peak day time heating. This should result in enough support for
at least a couple of isolated marginally severe storms with damaging
wind gusts being the main threat. This third wave should push
through in the form of a cluster/line which could also enhance wind
potential should there be enough energy to keep the storms together.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 212 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

Key Messages:

- Mostly dry conditions through next week, except for isolated
showers and thunderstorms in far east central Georgia.

- Behind early week cold front, cooler temperatures will
return!

A return to (slightly) cooler weather is expected in the extended
period. A cold front passes through late weekend, and with
persistent mid to upper-level troughing over the eastern CONUS,
northwest flow will reinforce the drier and cooler conditions
through midweek. Expect high temperatures in the upper 70s to mid
80s Monday through Wednesday, with mountain highs possibly 5-10
degrees cooler. The cooler air will not be enough to put
widespread 50s across the area in the mornings, but expect lows
Monday through Friday to be in the 60s, with 50s over the
mountains.

Though the cold front clears the area Monday, some moisture
lingers over far east central Georgia in the area of the remaining
boundary. This moisture is sufficient to keep mention of isolated
shower and thunderstorm activity Sunday through Thursday. At this
time, there is no concern for severe weather given the latest
instability and shear guidance.

31

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 719 PM EDT Fri Sep 5 2025

Another round of isolated SHRA/TSRA this evening but they should
stay away from most of the TAF sites. AHN and CSG do have some
storms in close proximity so they may see some precip and reduced
VSBYs over the next few hours. The storms should dissipate by
02z-04z with another round of storms expected again Sat
afternoon/evening. Winds are out of the SW and should turn
slightly SE overnight. They should go back to the SW after
daybreak then W to NW Sat afternoon/evening. Wind speeds will stay
in the 4-8kt range through the period. Will see some higher gust
in and around convective activity.


//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Confidence high on all elements.

01

&&
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