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Area Forecast Discussion

AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
134 PM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 128 PM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

- Warm temperatures throughout the week, peaking on Tuesday with
highs in the 70s.

- Light rain showers move through Tuesday night into Wednesday,
with rainfall totals generally under a tenth of an inch.

- Increasing chances for widespread rainfall over the weekend as
a strong system moves through the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 128 PM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

A very pleasant February afternoon across the area under mostly
sunny skies and generally light winds. There`s a decent range in
temperatures with upper 40s/lower 50s across northeast and east-
central GA, while mid to upper 60s exist across southwest areas (as
of 1PM EST).

As high pressure slips south across Florida and the eastern Gulf,
the flow will become more `south-westerly` across the area which
will increase moisture ahead of our next little system/cold front
that will approach the area tomorrow (Tuesday) night. In the
meantime, temperatures will be running at least 10-15F degrees above
normal (likely higher tomorrow night as clouds and light precip move
in) through early Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 128 PM EST Mon Feb 9 2026

Warm with Occasional Rain through Friday:

Wednesday will start off with scattered light rain showers across
much of north and central Georgia as a mid-level shortwave and
associated frontal boundary push through the area. Rainfall totals
with this system will be generally under 0.10 inches before it
pushes out of the area mid to late afternoon. Highs will be in the
60s for most areas on Wednesday. A drier and slightly cooler
airmass filters in Wednesday night into Thursday, with overnight
lows in the 30s in north GA, and 40s in central GA. Highs Thursday
afternoon climb into the mid to upper 60s under mostly clear
skies. From late Thursday into Friday, model guidance starts to
show increasing spread / uncertainty, but the general thinking is
that another weak shortwave will drop from the Midwest down across
the Southeast US. At most, this would bring another round of
isolated to scattered light rain showers to the area, but it is
just as likely that the moisture remains further north and keeps
the area rain-free. High temps would likely be in the upper 50s to
low 60s.

Weekend Storm System:

The bigger story of the long term period is the potential for a
strong system to eject out of the Southern Plains and move across
the Southeast US over the weekend. There is still a lot of
uncertainty with the timing and track of this system, and
therefore any potential hazards, but our confidence does continue
to increase in widespread rainfall and gusty winds at times from
late Friday through Sunday. At this time, temperatures look like
they will be too warm for any wintry precipitation, but we will
have to keep a close eye on the potential for a shallow wedge of
cold air to sneak into far NE Georgia with surface high pressure
over the Mid-Atlantic. The other thing we will be keeping an eye
on is the potential for severe weather, which will be highly
dependent on the track of the system, as higher dewpoints could be
brought in from the south with a further north track. In summary,
the confidence in the forecast this weekend is low besides the
widespread rainfall. Speaking of which, the latest NBM run has
over an 80% chance of 1 inch or more of total rainfall across most
of the area this weekend, with over a 50% chance of 2 inches or
more across portions of north GA. Needless to say this system
could pack quite a punch and lead to different hazards depending
its track and strength, so stay tuned for the latest forecast
updates!

&&
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